Tuesday, October 04, 2005

It doesn't look like Jaafari and his party will be in power after the December elections; his rule has not been particularly popular and his coalition is splitting. Remember, Iraq really is a democracy now, with real elections, raucous dissent, and a thriving free press. Bloggers and newspapers are reporting many Iraqis are very unhappy with the sectarianism of the current parties and secularists are expected to make big gains -- including a big chunk of Sunnis who didn't vote last time.

The current gov't just isn't very representative of what Iraqis want. They were elected because they were all Iraq had to offer last year. This year, there will be real campaigns, real debates, and real choices about the future of Iraq.

UPDATE: It occurs to me the upcoming Iraqi election is arguably more important than the last. The sad history of nascent democracies has too often gone the road marked "one man, one vote, one time." An orderly, peaceful, democratic transfer of power, something we very much take for granted in the West, is quite a novelty for an Arab country. Also, unlike the last election this one shows every sign of being much more than a vote by ethnicity or region; the real divide is shaping up as secularism vs. sectarianism.

For the first time, the will of the people matters.

5 Comments:

Blogger Treasure of Baghdad said...

As an Iraqi, I can tell you that we are fed up with this government. I am a reporter and I interviewed many Iraqis who expressed their loss due to the failure of the government whom they voted for.
The problem is that there are many people who say they don't care about the referendum of the constitution. They don’t care because they say they want other crucial issues like electricity, water, security, housing, unemployment and so on. They just cannot understand that this constitution is their future.

1:19 AM  
Blogger Dean Esmay said...

Complaining about how frustrated and fed up with your government is another sign of democracy. ;-)

So throw the bums out and get some new ones. :-)

11:17 AM  
Blogger TallDave said...

It's sounding like the bums will get thrown out in Dec.

Soon you should get some people who are really serious about fixing those problems.

3:14 PM  
Blogger Paul said...

There will certainly be some political uncertainties as a new democratic Iraq emerges. But those uncertainties are precisely why the liberation was justified. Under Hussein Iraqis faced only the certainy of concentration camps and mass graves.

Now they are free to debate all aspects of their lives. Like any other normal society Iraq is home to many competing and conflicting views, and it can be difficult to reach consensus. But that is what democracy is. Only in a despotic regime can complex issues be solved by the whim of a tyrant.

8:39 AM  
Anonymous tom said...

Thank you, very interesting!

6:04 AM  

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