Saturday, July 09, 2005

Dean Esmay notes some encouraging sentiments from the Free Muslim Coalition.

These FMC guys deserve our wholehearted support. I am very moved by their words every time I run across them. They are exactly what the Muslim community needs to put terrorism behind them and promote freedom for Muslims everywhere.

You know, I bet CAIR gets way more money than FMC from the Saudis. That tells you something right there.

There's really no reason why Arabs need to keep living in dictatorial oppression, any more than Eastern Europeans had to. If free and democratic Iraqis can bring their economy up to $10,000 GDP per capita, I think the effect will be like W Germany on the Soviet Union: a concrete example of why freedom is better and a magnet for the best and brightest (remember, people liked W Germany so much better they had to start shooting people to keep them from moving there) except Iraq sits square in the middle of the oppressive states. How long before freedom- and prosperity-craving Iranians and Syrians and Saudis start flocking to New Iraq? I give it five or ten years before the dichotomy becomes as obvious as the Iron Curtain, and another five or ten before regimes start to fall by popular democratic revolt.

2 Comments:

Blogger Dean Esmay said...

I would have agreed with your timeline if we hadn't seen the stunning uprisings for democracy and human rights in Lebanon and Egypt and even Saudi Arabia.

Two years ago I figured it might take 20-30 years. Now I wonder if by the close of the decade we won't have multiple Arab democracies.

6:49 PM  
Blogger TallDave said...

Thanks for the comment, Dean. I certainly hope you're right. If Mideast regimes embrace democratic reforms, that could be the case. In places like Iran and Syria, though, it's probably going to require revolution, which may need to be precipitated by a lot of very angry people who see the benefits of freedom just across their border.

My estimate is all these regimes will try their best to stifle reform to point they can without incurring U.S. wrath (at least, any reform that leaves open a real possibility they'll lose power), but maybe I'm just too cynical.

7:59 AM  

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