Sunday, September 19, 2004

Brave, brave Sir Robin

I find all the cavils and caterwauling over the insurgency vastly amusing.

Just remember what people were saying 3 weeks into Afghanistan. "We have lost the initiative." "It's already a quagmire." "Soon the Pentagon will begin massaging the news." It was called a "tar-baby." Then the next week, Kabul and Mazar-i-Sharif fell to our spec-ops-backed Northen Alliance allies, embarassing the hell out of the defeatist crowd.

Let me say this very clearly: There is no militarily significant resistance in Iraq. We can crush this insurgency the minute we want to.

100,000 insurgents? So what? How many soldiers did Saddam have? They are totally outclassed.

This is a classic counter-insurgency campaign startegy for facing a militarily much weaker opponent: Give them a safe haven, let them all gather there in the illusion of safety, then crush them all at once. Additionally, we are using the time to build up Iraqi forces that can more legitimately fight the insurgents.

Every day, the Iraqi gov't forces get stronger relative to the insurgents. Every car bomb makes the Iraqi soldiers and populace that much more apt to agree the insurgents must be dealt with whatever the cost.

In three months, I think you will see the difference.

UPDATE: Was I right?


Blogger girl said...

We can crush the resistance the minute we want to? Wouldn't we want to stop killing and maiming our 18 year old boys just as soon as possible?

11:01 AM  
Blogger TallDave said...

>>>Wouldn't we want to stop killing and maiming our 18 year old boys just as soon as possible?

In a perfect world, we wouldn't have to send them there in the first place, so none of them would be injured or killed. In a perfect world, there would be no Saddam Hussein, no Osama bin Laden, no Stalin, no Hitler, no Mao, no Castro. But we don't live in a perfect world; we live here, in an often harsh reality that sometimes requires harsh necessities.

Could we storm the insurgents' bases now, or simply carpet-bomb Falluja to the ground, and save some American lives? Of course we could, but that would alienate the populace and make a lasting peace more difficult to secure. Saving a few lives now would probably end up costing more lives in the long run.

8:18 PM  

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